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    AUTHORS This example illustrates a minefield of cognitive biases. We prefer information from people we trust, our in-group. We pay attention to and are more likely to share information about risks-for Andy, the risk of losing his job. We search for and remember things that fit well with what we already know and understand. These biases are products of our evolutionary past, and for tens of thousands of years, they served us well. People who behaved in accordance with them-for example, by staying away from the overgrown pond bank where someone said there was a viper-were more likely to survive than those who did not. Compounding the problem is the proliferation of online information. Viewing and producing blogs, videos, tweets and other units of information called memes have become so cheap and easy that the information marketplace is inundated. Unable to process all this material, we let our cognitive biases decide what we should pay attention to. These mental shortcuts influence which information we search for, comprehend, remember and repeat to a harmful extent. Running this simulation over many time steps, Lilian Weng, now at OpenAI, and researchers at OSoMe found that as agents' attention became increasingly limited, the propagation of memes came to reflect the power-law distribution of actual social media: the probability that a meme would be shared a given number of times was roughly an inverse power of that number. For example, the likelihood of a meme being shared three times was approximately nine times less than that of its being shared once. Nodal diagrams representing 3 social media networks show that more memes correlate with higher load and lower quality of information shared This tendency is extremely difficult to correct. Experiments consistently show that even when people encounter balanced information containing views from differing perspectives, they tend to find supporting evidence for what they already believe. And when people with divergent beliefs about emotionally charged issues such as climate change are shown the same information on these topics, they become even more committed to their original positions. Such social conformity is pervasive. In a fascinating 2006 study involving 14,000 Web-based volunteers, Matthew Salganik, then at Columbia University, and his colleagues found that when people can see what music others are downloading, they end up downloading similar songs. Moreover, when people were isolated into "social" groups, in which they could see the preferences of others in their circle but had no information about outsiders, the choices of individual groups rapidly diverged. But the preferences of "nonsocial" groups, where no one knew about others' choices, stayed relatively stable. In other words, social groups create a pressure toward conformity so powerful that it can overcome individual preferences, and by amplifying random early differences, it can cause segregated groups to diverge to extremes. Curbing Online Manipulation designer bags cyber mondayhigh imitation designer bagsdesigner bags cyber mondaygood quality replica bags
    About our Match Predictions and Cricket Betting Tips Our match predictions are written exclusively by professional cricket writers. We want to put out our match predictions as quickly as possible and cover as many games as we can - our goal is to give our cricket predictions for all cricket matches played around the globe. Sometimes in hectic leagues that is not possible because we have to take into account the last games played by both teams before making a prediction. An example of bonus betting tips could be for an IPL prediction we have written, CSK vs MI, where we think CSK will win, but we might also suggest: CSK to score the most points in their first 6 overs And there could be plenty other bets like these. So some times we might bet on something that is unlikely to happen, but the return we would get suggest that we could stand to make money over time betting on that outcome. designer bags cyber mondaychevron flap bag chanel