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It's hard to overstate how mediocre Mitchell Trubisky was as Pittsburgh's starting quarterback.
He ranks 24th of 32 quarterbacks in Total QBR this season and has seen his teams score exactly as many points per game as you would expect - no more, no less - since he was drafted in 2017.
On Sunday against the New York Jets, he was pulled in the second half in favor of rookie Kenny Pickett, who promptly completed 10 of 13 passes for 120 yards, although he also threw three interceptions.
In other words, even with the three turnovers, Pickett turned the offense around.
That came after Pickett had no reps with the first-team offense and was hastily thrown into the game, so I would expect improvement going forward.
Based on my power ratings, I have this game as Bills -11½.
If Pickett starts, as Coach Mike Tomlin said he would, I think Steelers +14 is worth a look.
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